Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 81597.069579 86126.184000 90655.660057 95522.227206 100599.825965 105738.151233 111327.760273
2026-01-18 74097.383320 80995.463193 88086.981777 95912.582405 104296.243947 112998.479881 122704.415419
2026-01-25 68673.594107 77184.168192 86126.156517 96202.071150 107219.494246 118880.141702 132134.245387
2026-02-01 64218.580698 73897.297991 84255.112163 96131.845322 109340.135402 123544.642939 139941.274510
2026-02-08 61100.700618 71766.404734 83363.654743 96862.820920 112094.245648 128698.017391 148115.150596
2026-02-15 57975.708856 69388.583867 81980.079703 96837.693158 113822.051925 132563.000882 154735.051512
2026-02-22 56083.445957 68264.919170 81880.155578 98141.422601 116945.770110 137917.525687 162981.527991
2026-03-01 54158.382225 66976.691067 81479.572322 98997.922551 119473.950427 142536.458631 170357.498802
2026-03-08 51892.228686 65169.107660 80368.916228 98929.695678 120847.400433 145766.659513 176094.627207
2026-03-15 50048.449293 63770.521044 79654.763761 99249.212399 122608.859407 149399.497946 182272.093891
2026-03-22 49027.945671 63302.122351 79992.831419 100772.534844 125759.073515 154640.595520 190338.810484
2026-03-29 47905.673840 62652.201934 80064.248494 101935.209705 128451.875825 159332.240753 197768.083498
2026-04-05 46579.624897 61716.086340 79765.759294 102641.179245 130606.292535 163418.013524 204542.487946
2026-04-12 45056.568779 60479.772767 79053.160024 102802.111921 132073.849664 166672.759374 210334.163286
2026-04-19 43673.708751 59367.050311 78446.236177 103051.167564 133617.006520 170000.911144 216214.322591
2026-04-26 42213.659087 58103.381065 77603.649550 102963.945878 134711.720647 172763.657202 221402.976929
2026-05-03 41242.212387 57429.572663 77469.078763 103734.054482 136848.528823 176790.366246 228142.603678
2026-05-10 39960.776330 56309.844510 76730.301969 103706.816044 137963.660488 179548.046608 233325.387735
2026-05-17 39378.135877 56081.058854 77109.632481 105085.257689 140837.778696 184483.287376 241217.517085
2026-05-24 38621.038652 55593.918167 77133.342421 105990.802972 143105.500305 188669.121562 248200.442925
2026-05-31 37483.449941 54563.694256 76420.616540 105918.661619 144108.442235 191265.298015 253204.637065
2026-06-07 36571.674785 53808.494071 76041.487499 106256.467583 145619.608652 194492.923982 259007.036637
2026-06-14 36224.720008 53805.285497 76641.365687 107866.841911 148770.535528 199801.758190 267458.401703